Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004102 0.004311 0.004525 0.004762 0.005016 0.005282 0.005580
2025-10-05 0.003756 0.004067 0.004400 0.004783 0.005215 0.005689 0.006250
2025-10-12 0.003567 0.003940 0.004352 0.004841 0.005411 0.006058 0.006855
2025-10-19 0.003372 0.003783 0.004245 0.004809 0.005482 0.006270 0.007271
2025-10-26 0.003217 0.003656 0.004159 0.004784 0.005550 0.006467 0.007668
2025-11-02 0.003079 0.003538 0.004072 0.004749 0.005594 0.006630 0.008021
2025-11-09 0.003018 0.003507 0.004085 0.004830 0.005779 0.006972 0.008617
2025-11-16 0.002907 0.003407 0.004007 0.004792 0.005809 0.007111 0.008950
2025-11-23 0.002821 0.003334 0.003958 0.004784 0.005874 0.007295 0.009348
2025-11-30 0.002714 0.003231 0.003864 0.004714 0.005851 0.007357 0.009578
2025-12-07 0.002622 0.003141 0.003785 0.004658 0.005840 0.007433 0.009826
2025-12-14 0.002558 0.003085 0.003744 0.004650 0.005894 0.007596 0.010208
2025-12-21 0.002439 0.002956 0.003607 0.004508 0.005759 0.007491 0.010188
2025-12-28 0.002393 0.002919 0.003589 0.004526 0.005846 0.007705 0.010662
2026-01-04 0.002364 0.002904 0.003597 0.004580 0.005984 0.007997 0.011275
2026-01-11 0.002305 0.002846 0.003547 0.004550 0.006000 0.008109 0.011606
2026-01-18 0.002252 0.002795 0.003504 0.004527 0.006024 0.008232 0.011962
2026-01-25 0.002198 0.002741 0.003455 0.004495 0.006031 0.008329 0.012278
2026-02-01 0.002185 0.002742 0.003481 0.004570 0.006201 0.008684 0.013054
2026-02-08 0.002135 0.002691 0.003433 0.004534 0.006202 0.008772 0.013373
2026-02-15 0.002097 0.002655 0.003404 0.004527 0.006245 0.008928 0.013821
2026-02-22 0.002041 0.002593 0.003339 0.004463 0.006196 0.008932 0.013992
2026-03-01 0.001992 0.002539 0.003283 0.004410 0.006163 0.008960 0.014209